Morrinhosvs
Grêmio Anápolis
COMPLETEDBrazil · Goiano - 2 · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morrinhos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Morrinhos 2-2 Grêmio Anápolis
Original prediction
Morrinhos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.23 | 21.5% | 39.1% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 28.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.8% | 32.7% | -19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Morrinhos
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Morrinhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80