Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morrinhos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Morrinhos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Goiânia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiânia hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Goiano - 2, while Morrinhos holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morrinhos
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
15.4%
Morrinhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40