Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morrinhos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Morrinhos 2-1 Crixás EC
Original prediction
Morrinhos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Morrinhos
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Morrinhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MorrinhosLDWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Crixás ECDWWDL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MorrinhosCrixás EC
47.6Attack38.1
54.8Defence52.4
45.2Form35.7
51.4Power44.5
1.49xG0.92