Morrinhosvs
Bom Jesus EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Goiano - 2 · 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Morrinhos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bom Jesus EC are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bom Jesus EC hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Goiano - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00