Morpeth Townvs
Workington
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morpeth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Morpeth Town are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWLD), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Workington are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Morpeth Town hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Morpeth Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morpeth Town
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Morpeth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80