Morocco Wvs
Uzbekistan W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morocco W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Morocco W 0-0 Uzbekistan W
Original prediction
Morocco W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 07:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.1% | 59.1% | -19.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.23 | 14.5% | 22.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 12.29 | 7.4% | 18.8% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Morocco W
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Morocco W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40