Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morocco W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Morocco W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Senegal W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Morocco W hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Africa Cup of Nations - Women, while Morocco W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morocco W
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Morocco W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50