Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morocco W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Morocco W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Mali W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Morocco W hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Africa Cup of Nations - Women, while Morocco W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morocco W
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Morocco W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67