Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morocco W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Morocco W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Algeria W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Morocco W hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Africa Cup of Nations - Women, while Morocco W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morocco W
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Morocco W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00