Morocco U20vs
Algeria U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 9/30/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morocco U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Morocco U20 0-0 Algeria U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Morocco U20 3-1 Algeria U20
Original prediction
Morocco U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.3% | 40.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 29.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.9% | 29.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Projected Score
Morocco U20 0–0 Algeria U20
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Morocco U20
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Morocco U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80