Mornarvs
Otrant-Olympic
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mornar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mornar 0-0 Otrant-Olympic, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mornar 0-1 Otrant-Olympic
Original prediction
Mornar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 42.6% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 30.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.7% | 27.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Mornar 0–0 Otrant-Olympic
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Mornar
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Mornar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MornarLWDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Otrant-OlympicLWWLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MornarOtrant-Olympic
41.7Attack50.0
70.4Defence66.7
59.3Form66.7
59.3Power64.8
1.07xG0.72