Mornarvs
Mladost DG
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 10/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mornar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mornar 1-0 Mladost DG, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mornar 4-1 Mladost DG
Original prediction
Mornar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.2% | 52.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 27.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.7% | 20.6% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Mornar 1–0 Mladost DG
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Mornar
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Mornar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MornarWWDWD
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mladost DGDDLWL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MornarMladost DG
42.4Attack30.3
66.7Defence48.5
51.5Form36.4
56.2Power40.8
1.46xG0.53