Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mornar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mornar 1-0 Bokelj, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mornar 2-0 Bokelj
Original prediction
Mornar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.0% | 60.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 26.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.85 | 15.5% | 13.2% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Mornar 1–0 Bokelj
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Mornar
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Mornar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MornarDWWDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BokeljDDLWW
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MornarBokelj
41.7Attack28.7
70.4Defence53.7
59.3Form40.7
59.3Power43.3
1.30xG0.45