UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Mornar

Mornar

Home
LL
12
Full time
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Away
WW
Gradski Stadion
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(41%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Win probability
Mornar
33%
Draw
26%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
41%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mornar
34
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
73
Defence
Mornar
27
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
66
Momentum
Mornar
0
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
100
Danger (xG)
Mornar
0.90
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Mornar)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Mornar)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MornarMornar
LLD
Atlètic Club d'EscaldesAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
WWW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Mornar33%
Draw26%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes41%

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Mornar head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Gradski Stadion in mixed form (LL), while Atlètic Club d'Escaldes arrive in decent form (WW). Mornar have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over 2 games.

Tactically, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Mornar defence (27/100), while Mornar's attack faces a solid Atlètic Club d'Escaldes backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Mornar have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Atlètic Club d'Escaldes to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Mornar 3317%, Draw 2623%, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 4060%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Mornar 0Draws 02 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 2/2
16 Jul 2026
Mornar
L12
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
9 Jul 2026
Mornar
L12
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Recent form

Mornar

Mornar

L
vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
16 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
9 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Buducnost Podgorica
16 May 2026
00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

W
@ Mornar
16 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Mornar
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Penya Encarnada
17 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?

GoalVio's model predicts Atlètic Club d'Escaldes to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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