Moreton City ExcelsiorvsRochedale Rovers

Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rochedale Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.