GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olympic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton City ExcelsiorLWWWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
OlympicLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorOlympic
77.3Attack59.1
47.0Defence34.8
59.1Form39.4
59.9Power45.4
3.46xG1.68
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