Moreton City ExcelsiorvsGold Coast United

Moreton City Excelsior are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gold Coast United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.