GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 2/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.9 against 58.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton City ExcelsiorLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorGold Coast Knights
77.3Attack69.7
47.0Defence51.5
59.1Form57.6
59.9Power58.9
2.47xG2.06
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