GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/28/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton City ExcelsiorWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Eastern SuburbsLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorEastern Suburbs
77.3Attack51.5
47.0Defence47.0
59.1Form43.9
59.9Power47.9
2.79xG1.48
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