Moreton City Excelsiorvs
Brisbane Roar II
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Moreton City Excelsior are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moreton City Excelsior
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
9.3%
Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00