GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Moreton City Excelsior are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

80.9%

Model confidence

9.3%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton City ExcelsiorWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Brisbane Roar IILWLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorBrisbane Roar II
77.3Attack48.5
47.0Defence21.2
59.1Form24.2
59.9Power33.1
4.34xG1.33
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