Moreton City ExcelsiorvsBrisbane City

Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brisbane City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.