GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/5/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton Bay United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Moreton Bay United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rochedale Rovers are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton Bay United hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton Bay United holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton Bay United

Probability

78.2%

Model confidence

78.2%

Moreton Bay United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton Bay UnitedWWWLD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rochedale RoversLLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Moreton Bay UnitedRochedale Rovers
65.3Attack51.5
59.7Defence21.2
56.9Form31.8
60.8Power36.5
3.62xG1.09
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