Moreton Bay Unitedvs
Heidelberg United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/10/2023, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Moreton Bay United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heidelberg United hold a 64.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Australia Cup, while Heidelberg United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Heidelberg United
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40