GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/18/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton Bay United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Moreton Bay United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton Bay United hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton Bay United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton Bay United

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Moreton Bay United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton Bay UnitedDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Eastern SuburbsDLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Moreton Bay UnitedEastern Suburbs
65.3Attack51.5
59.7Defence47.0
56.9Form43.9
60.8Power47.9
2.36xG1.12
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