GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/3/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Moreland Zebras are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Northcote City are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreland ZebrasLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Northcote CityLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Moreland ZebrasNorthcote City
38.5Attack59.4
50.0Defence65.2
37.2Form66.7
43.9Power64.9
0.83xG1.78
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