GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 4/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Mediumconfidence

Moreland City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Malvern are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malvern

Probability

87.2%

Model confidence

10.2%

Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreland CityDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MalvernWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Moreland CityMalvern
42.0Attack84.7
15.9Defence59.7
18.8Form73.6
29.1Power72.0
0.97xG4.47
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