GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 2/28/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Keilor Park · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Moreland City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Keilor Park are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Keilor Park hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Keilor Park holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Keilor Park

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

9.8%

Keilor Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreland CityWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Keilor ParkLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Moreland CityKeilor Park
42.0Attack45.8
15.9Defence51.4
18.8Form52.8
29.1Power51.8
1.24xG2.30
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