Moreirense U23vs
Sporting Braga U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Braga U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moreirense U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23
Original prediction
Sporting Braga U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.6% | 34.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 27.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.1% | 38.4% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Braga U23
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Sporting Braga U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20