Moreirense U23vs
Santa Clara U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreirense U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moreirense U23 7-0 Santa Clara U23
Original prediction
Moreirense U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.1% | 37.6% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Moreirense U23
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Moreirense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60