Moreirense U23vs
Gil Vicente U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreirense U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moreirense U23 2-0 Gil Vicente U23
Original prediction
Moreirense U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.2% | 41.5% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 28.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.2% | 29.8% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Moreirense U23
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Moreirense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00