Moreirense U19vs
Rio Ave U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Ave U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moreirense U19 1-0 Rio Ave U19
Original prediction
Rio Ave U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.9% | 32.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 27.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.9% | 40.0% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Rio Ave U19
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Rio Ave U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60