Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morecambe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Morecambe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Walsall are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the League Two, while Morecambe holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morecambe
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 2.25/0.75