Morecambevs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morecambe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Morecambe are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest U21 hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Morecambe holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morecambe
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60