GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Morecambe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Morecambe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Liverpool U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Morecambe hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Morecambe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Morecambe

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MorecambeLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
MorecambeLiverpool U21
44.4Attack50.0
33.3Defence8.3
33.3Form25.0
38.7Power29.2
2.29xG1.62
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