Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxton · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Morecambe 4-0 Buxton
Original prediction
Buxton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Buxton
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Buxton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MorecambeWWLLL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BuxtonWWLLD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MorecambeBuxton
27.8Attack55.6
66.7Defence50.0
38.9Form55.6
47.4Power56.8
1.10xG1.17