Morecambevs
Brackley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morecambe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Morecambe 1-0 Brackley Town, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Morecambe 3-0 Brackley Town
Original prediction
Morecambe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.0% | 56.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.1% | 25.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.9% | 18.3% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Morecambe 1–0 Brackley Town
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Morecambe
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MorecambeLWWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Brackley TownLWDDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MorecambeBrackley Town
41.7Attack29.2
66.7Defence45.8
41.7Form37.5
50.5Power40.0
1.50xG0.64