GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Morecambe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Morecambe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AFC Telford United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Morecambe hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the National League - North, while Morecambe holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Morecambe

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

13.4%

Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MorecambeDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AFC Telford UnitedLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MorecambeAFC Telford United
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.54xG1.07
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