Moravia Morawicavs
KSZO 1929
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KSZO 1929 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moravia Morawica 0-4 KSZO 1929
Original prediction
KSZO 1929
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.40 | 16.7% | 25.9% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 25.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.4% | 48.8% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
KSZO 1929
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
KSZO 1929 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80