Moravia Morawicavs
Czarni Połaniec
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Czarni Połaniec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moravia Morawica 1-2 Czarni Połaniec
Original prediction
Czarni Połaniec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.61 | 25.0% | 23.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.8% | 24.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.2% | 51.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Czarni Połaniec
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Czarni Połaniec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40