Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Moralo 0-0 Castuera, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Moralo 2-1 Castuera
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Moralo 0–0 Castuera
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MoraloWDDWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CastueraWWWLL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MoraloCastuera
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
0.81xG0.89