Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reggiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monza are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Reggiana are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 4.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Reggiana hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Coppa Italia, while Reggiana holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reggiana
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Reggiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 4.33/1.00