Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monza 3-3 Padova
Original prediction
Monza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Monza
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Monza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MonzaLWWLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PadovaWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MonzaPadova
53.3Attack55.6
53.3Defence44.4
46.7Form44.4
52.1Power51.1
1.90xG1.51