Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 30 July 202617:00Updated today
Monza

Monza

Home
D
vs
17:00
Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Aris Thessalonikis33%
Monza33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Monza
33%
Draw
33%
Aris Thessalonikis
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Monza
9
Aris Thessalonikis
73
Defence
Monza
91
Aris Thessalonikis
66
Momentum
Monza
33
Aris Thessalonikis
100
Danger (xG)
Monza
0.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Monza)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Aris Thessalonikis)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Monza)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Aris Thessalonikis)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MonzaMonza
D
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Monza33%
Draw33%
Aris Thessalonikis33%

Aris Thessalonikis leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Monza head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Aris Thessalonikis arrive in mixed form (W). Monza have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Aris Thessalonikis over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Monza (91/100) and Aris Thessalonikis (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Monza have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Aris Thessalonikis have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Monza and Aris Thessalonikis in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Monza 3333%, Draw 3333%, Aris Thessalonikis 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Monza

Monza

D
@ Juve Stabia
16 May 2026
00
Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis

W
@ Volos NFC
13 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Monza vs Aris Thessalonikis?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Monza vs Aris Thessalonikis?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Monza vs Aris Thessalonikis?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monza vs Aris Thessalonikis?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more