Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Montrose are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while ST Mirren are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 77.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the League Cup, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.50/2.25
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80