GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ST Johnstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Montrose are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ST Johnstone are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Johnstone hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while ST Johnstone holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ST Johnstone

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

8.2%

ST Johnstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MontroseDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ST JohnstoneWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 0 · avg 2.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
MontroseST Johnstone
83.3Attack66.7
25.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
52.5Power71.2
1.98xG2.04
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