Montrosevs
Ross County
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montrose 0-5 Ross County
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.23 | 14.7% | 19.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.5% | 22.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.8% | 57.9% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 33 · GA 2 · avg 6.60/0.40