Montrosevs
Queen of the South
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montrose · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montrose 2-1 Queen of the South
Original prediction
Montrose
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.5% | 42.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.1% | 31.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Montrose
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60