Montrosevs
Queen of the South
SCHEDULEDScotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montrose · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Montrose are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Queen of the South are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 10.2 against 11.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the League One, while Montrose holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montrose
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
13.0%
Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60