GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Montrose · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Montrose are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Queen of the South are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 10.2 against 11.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the League One, while Montrose holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Montrose

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MontroseLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Queen of the SouthWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MontroseQueen of the South
16.7Attack16.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
10.2Power11.2
1.53xG1.31
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