Montrosevs
Kelty Hearts
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montrose · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Montrose are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kelty Hearts are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kelty Hearts hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (10.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the League One, while Montrose holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montrose
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00