Montrosevs
Cove Rangers
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montrose · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montrose 2-1 Cove Rangers
Original prediction
Montrose
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.9% | 46.3% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 22.0% | 27.8% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Montrose
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60