GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cove Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Montrose are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cove Rangers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cove Rangers hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (10.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the League One, while Cove Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cove Rangers

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Cove Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MontroseWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cove RangersDLDLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MontroseCove Rangers
16.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form16.7
10.2Power31.3
1.21xG1.38
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